Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 12-20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 16-25 | 4-8 | 11-16 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 47 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 19 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter