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2020-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 84.2% 15.8% -
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% -
Margin 84.6% 15.4% -9.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -
Points Off/Def 66.9% 33.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 4-11 1-5 1-2 10 4 0 1 10 14 -
Marcus Smart * 34 3-14 3-10 4-5 2 3 3 2 13 9 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 7-22 2-10 7-7 12 1 0 0 23 14 -
Jayson Tatum * 30 8-20 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 2 17 2 -
Daniel Theis * 21 2-6 0-0 4-5 7 2 2 1 8 14 -
Grant Williams 25 3-3 1-1 2-5 6 0 1 1 9 14 -
Enes Kanter 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 4 15 -
Brad Wanamaker 14 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Tremont Waters 7 3-6 0-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 8 4 -
Carsen Edwards 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Javonte Green 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Semi Ojeleye 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan McRae * 38 8-24 2-5 1-3 7 1 2 3 19 8 -
Isaac Bonga * 31 5-8 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 10 11 -
Gary Payton II * 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 1 0 10 -
Ian Mahinmi * 23 1-3 0-0 2-4 8 4 1 4 4 18 -
Isaiah Thomas * 23 6-13 2-6 3-4 1 3 0 0 17 8 -
Troy Brown Jr. 36 5-12 2-4 3-4 9 0 1 0 15 13 -
Ish Smith 31 12-18 1-3 2-4 4 4 0 0 27 17 -
Anzejs Pasecniks 22 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 7 10 -
Garrison Mathews 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter