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2020-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Margin 75.2% 24.8% -6.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -11 (104-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 7-11 0-1 4-6 12 7 2 1 18 - -
Myles Turner * 35 6-13 2-6 1-2 9 2 0 3 15 - -
T.J. Warren * 33 15-24 0-2 6-6 5 3 1 1 36 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 31 5-11 1-2 0-0 10 4 3 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday * 26 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 7 0 0 7 - -
Doug McDermott 18 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Edmond Sumner 16 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Justin Holiday 15 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 39 8-17 3-10 9-9 1 6 1 0 28 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 6-7 2-3 4-4 7 4 1 0 18 - -
Devonte' Graham * 33 7-15 3-7 5-6 5 6 0 0 22 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 3-12 0-5 0-0 9 2 1 1 6 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 - -
Cody Zeller 23 6-10 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Dwayne Bacon 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Cody Martin 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter