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2020-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% -
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 40 2-13 0-1 8-9 18 0 1 4 12 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 34 4-12 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 1 11 - -
Christian Wood * 29 2-6 1-3 6-7 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Tony Snell * 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Tim Frazier * 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 31 4-7 4-6 2-2 1 2 3 0 14 - -
Derrick Rose 28 8-19 2-3 10-10 3 5 1 1 28 - -
Bruce Brown 26 2-7 0-1 2-2 6 5 1 0 6 - -
Langston Galloway 22 5-7 3-5 0-1 5 4 2 0 13 - -
Thon Maker 7 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 7-16 1-4 9-10 11 2 3 8 24 - -
LeBron James * 35 10-21 0-3 1-2 14 11 0 0 21 - -
Danny Green * 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
JaVale McGee * 20 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 6 9 - -
Avery Bradley * 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 5 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 25 4-10 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 24 5-9 0-0 3-5 3 3 2 0 13 - -
Dwight Howard 21 4-8 0-0 3-5 9 0 0 5 11 - -
Rajon Rondo 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Kyle Kuzma 20 2-8 0-3 0-1 4 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter