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2020-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.5% 53.5% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 6-14 3-8 0-0 8 3 1 3 15 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 7-15 5-11 0-0 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Ja Morant * 27 4-8 1-2 4-4 3 7 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 12-16 3-4 3-5 8 4 1 2 30 - -
Jae Crowder * 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-7 0-1 0-1 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Tyus Jones 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 - -
Solomon Hill 16 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 15 2-4 1-3 3-3 2 0 0 2 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 13 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Grayson Allen 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 6-18 1-7 4-4 10 2 1 0 17 - -
Devin Booker * 37 13-20 1-5 13-14 2 6 0 0 40 - -
Ricky Rubio * 36 4-11 1-3 0-0 3 8 2 0 9 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 7-14 0-0 0-0 12 4 1 2 14 - -
Aron Baynes * 26 3-10 1-5 2-4 9 1 0 0 9 - -
Mikal Bridges 31 4-7 1-2 3-3 5 3 3 1 12 - -
Cameron Johnson 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Elie Okobo 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Tyler Johnson 9 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Dario Saric 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter