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Portland Trail Blazers 111
@
Miami Heat 122
2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - ✓
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 ✓ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - ✓

Actual: Miami Heat +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 41 11-22 6-12 6-7 1 12 3 0 34 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 37 3-11 0-4 5-6 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Kent Bazemore * 35 2-9 1-5 2-2 9 0 0 0 7 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 32 9-12 0-0 3-3 18 0 0 2 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 17 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 34 8-15 2-6 1-1 4 4 0 0 19 - -
Mario Hezonja 19 4-6 1-2 1-1 1 1 2 2 10 - -
Anthony Tolliver 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylen Hoard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Jones Jr. * 36 8-17 1-4 2-2 6 2 1 2 19 - -
Duncan Robinson * 35 2-11 2-11 0-0 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Bam Adebayo * 35 9-10 0-0 2-6 8 6 1 1 20 - -
Kendrick Nunn * 27 5-13 1-5 3-3 2 5 1 0 14 - -
Meyers Leonard * 23 4-8 3-7 0-0 9 3 0 0 11 - -
Goran Dragic 29 11-17 7-10 0-0 3 13 0 0 29 - -
Tyler Herro 28 4-9 2-5 1-1 5 3 0 0 11 - -
James Johnson 21 4-5 2-2 2-4 6 2 0 2 12 - -
Chris Silva 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter