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2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 7-17 3-8 2-2 5 7 1 0 19 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 9-19 4-12 2-2 6 10 2 1 24 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 4-13 3-8 5-5 5 3 3 0 16 - -
Derrick Favors * 28 5-6 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 1 13 - -
JJ Redick * 26 5-10 3-6 5-5 2 3 1 0 18 - -
Josh Hart 27 5-8 2-5 4-7 5 1 2 1 16 - -
E'Twaun Moore 21 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kenrich Williams 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jahlil Okafor 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 39 7-20 4-7 6-6 12 3 2 0 24 - -
Harrison Barnes * 38 9-12 2-2 10-12 4 3 0 0 30 - -
Richaun Holmes * 34 6-11 0-0 1-1 12 0 1 2 13 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 5-14 2-3 5-11 3 5 1 0 17 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 21 4-11 1-4 3-4 10 1 1 0 12 - -
Trevor Ariza 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 5 - -
Cory Joseph 19 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 5 2 0 8 - -
Harry Giles III 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Yogi Ferrell 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Justin James 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter