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2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ—
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ— (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sekou Doumbouya * 38 6-10 4-7 0-1 10 2 2 1 16 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 30 4-12 4-9 2-2 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 7-14 0-0 0-0 18 3 3 2 14 - -
Tony Snell * 21 2-3 1-1 1-1 0 3 0 0 6 - -
Tim Frazier * 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 1 8 - -
Bruce Brown 30 6-11 0-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 14 - -
Derrick Rose 28 10-16 1-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 22 - -
Langston Galloway 20 2-6 1-3 1-1 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Christian Wood 18 2-6 0-1 5-6 6 1 1 1 9 - -
Thon Maker 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 32 5-12 2-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 14 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 31 1-11 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 - -
Draymond Green * 21 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 3 0 1 2 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 14 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Ky Bowman * 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Alec Burks 31 5-13 3-6 14-14 7 5 1 0 27 - -
Omari Spellman 20 8-11 4-4 3-4 5 1 4 1 23 - -
Eric Paschall 19 4-7 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Jacob Evans 19 2-5 1-1 1-2 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Poole 18 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 4 - -
Marquese Chriss 17 3-6 0-0 2-4 4 2 2 0 8 - -

* = starter