Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (127-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 15-18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 23 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 19 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter