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2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 44 8-17 2-8 9-9 2 13 1 1 27 - -
Terry Rozier * 41 10-15 5-8 4-6 6 8 0 0 29 - -
P.J. Washington * 38 9-12 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 19 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 36 4-9 0-0 3-3 13 0 0 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 4-11 1-3 2-2 11 3 1 1 11 - -
Dwayne Bacon 24 3-10 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Marvin Williams 15 1-3 0-1 5-5 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Malik Monk 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Cody Zeller 14 2-6 1-1 5-6 5 0 1 1 10 - -
Cody Martin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 43 14-32 5-15 6-6 12 10 2 0 39 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 38 6-12 3-8 0-0 8 1 1 1 15 - -
Dwight Powell * 37 5-7 0-0 1-3 7 0 3 1 11 - -
J.J. Barea * 32 5-12 1-5 0-0 3 9 0 0 11 - -
Justin Jackson * 28 3-10 0-6 0-0 5 2 1 1 6 - -
Maxi Kleber 34 8-14 6-12 2-2 4 2 0 1 24 - -
Seth Curry 25 5-8 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Brunson 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Delon Wright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Reaves 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter