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2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 71.6% 28.4% -5.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% -
Points Off/Def 65.0% 35.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 12-15 2-4 2-2 7 2 2 2 28 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 7-13 3-5 2-2 7 3 0 0 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 34 9-14 2-4 4-4 5 3 1 0 24 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 2-8 0-3 4-7 0 5 1 0 8 - -
Daniel Theis * 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Enes Kanter 22 7-17 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 2 17 - -
Brad Wanamaker 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 - -
Javonte Green 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 6 - -
Semi Ojeleye 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Dunn * 40 4-6 1-1 4-5 4 7 3 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 39 4-11 1-2 3-3 6 5 1 0 12 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 11-21 5-9 8-14 2 3 4 0 35 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 35 3-9 0-2 5-5 14 2 3 2 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 5-12 3-9 2-2 4 1 1 0 15 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 5-11 1-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Coby White 17 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Daniel Gafford 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 3 0 - -

* = starter