Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (128-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 13-19 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Williams * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae * | 28 | 3-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 16 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 35 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 34 | 15-24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Anzejs Pasecniks | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter