Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -15 (106-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 27 | 6-21 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 30 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 20 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 35 | 12-22 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 35 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| John Henson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter