Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 31 | 5-19 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 30 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 41 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 37 | 12-23 | 5-13 | 12-14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 25 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 18 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter