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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (28.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -26 (114-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 9-10 3-4 3-4 6 0 0 4 24 - -
Jae Crowder * 31 9-17 6-11 3-4 8 7 3 3 27 - -
Ja Morant * 29 7-10 1-4 7-8 4 9 1 0 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 28 8-19 6-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 22 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 4-7 0-1 1-1 12 3 0 3 9 - -
Tyus Jones 18 5-8 0-1 1-2 2 5 2 0 11 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 16 2-8 1-4 3-3 7 4 2 0 8 - -
Solomon Hill 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Grayson Allen 14 2-3 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Marko Guduric 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 35 8-24 2-7 6-6 8 3 2 0 24 - -
Landry Shamet * 28 4-13 1-7 1-1 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. * 22 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Maurice Harkless * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Ivica Zubac * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 11-16 0-0 6-10 9 3 0 0 28 - -
Lou Williams 25 10-17 1-2 3-3 2 7 0 0 24 - -
Jerome Robinson 20 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
JaMychal Green 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 - -
Rodney McGruder 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 - -
Patrick Patterson 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Johnathan Motley 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter