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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (123-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 10-27 2-8 0-0 3 3 0 2 22 3 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 4-14 0-4 4-4 3 6 1 1 12 9 -
Lonzo Ball * 33 10-16 2-7 1-2 2 5 2 0 23 16 -
Derrick Favors * 33 7-11 0-1 1-1 14 2 0 4 15 24 -
JJ Redick * 27 5-9 4-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 14 12 -
E'Twaun Moore 29 7-14 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 16 8 -
Josh Hart 24 2-7 1-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 5 5 -
Jaxson Hayes 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 6 9 -
Kenrich Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 15-21 3-5 13-13 13 1 3 1 46 43 -
LeBron James * 37 7-17 1-3 2-5 8 15 2 0 17 25 -
Danny Green * 32 9-14 6-10 1-2 5 5 2 0 25 23 -
Avery Bradley * 31 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 5 -
JaVale McGee * 15 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 6 10 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 26 1-7 0-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 5 1 -
Kyle Kuzma 18 4-10 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 10 4 -
Rajon Rondo 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 8 -
Dwight Howard 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
Troy Daniels 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter