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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 35 8-17 4-8 5-8 3 2 2 1 25 - -
Julius Randle * 34 5-17 0-6 3-3 13 3 1 2 13 - -
Elfrid Payton * 31 6-10 0-1 3-8 5 6 0 0 15 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 3-10 1-6 3-4 4 2 2 1 10 - -
Taj Gibson * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson 21 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 3 9 - -
Bobby Portis 19 7-10 3-6 3-3 4 2 0 0 20 - -
Reggie Bullock 18 4-11 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Frank Ntilikina 16 2-5 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Wayne Ellington 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 39 11-16 5-7 2-4 5 1 3 0 29 - -
Devin Booker * 38 14-27 2-5 8-8 3 7 0 0 38 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 5-11 0-0 5-6 13 5 0 1 15 - -
Ricky Rubio * 32 3-7 1-4 2-4 4 10 1 0 9 - -
Aron Baynes * 29 7-16 2-8 4-5 12 2 0 1 20 - -
Mikal Bridges 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Cameron Johnson 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Elie Okobo 12 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Cheick Diallo 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter