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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 42 13-20 0-0 3-7 13 11 3 4 29 - -
Tobias Harris * 41 8-18 2-4 6-6 2 2 0 1 24 - -
Josh Richardson * 38 2-10 2-6 1-2 0 8 1 0 7 - -
Al Horford * 34 3-8 1-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 7 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 7-17 0-3 6-6 12 3 2 1 20 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 18 3-6 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Trey Burke 16 5-7 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Mike Scott 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 13-24 6-12 12-12 11 11 1 1 44 - -
P.J. Tucker * 36 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 - -
Clint Capela * 36 12-16 0-0 6-8 14 3 2 1 30 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 9-22 1-2 1-5 7 4 3 0 20 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 29 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Eric Gordon 29 3-13 2-10 4-5 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Ben McLemore 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Austin Rivers 6 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter