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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 78.4% 21.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -19 (103-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 35 10-18 2-6 2-2 4 6 1 0 24 - -
Damian Lillard * 34 10-20 2-6 13-14 3 3 1 0 35 - -
Kent Bazemore * 34 2-7 1-4 0-2 2 3 1 2 5 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 33 8-14 0-0 7-8 21 1 0 5 23 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 30 7-9 1-1 1-2 6 2 2 0 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 3-7 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Mario Hezonja 17 4-7 0-3 2-3 0 0 1 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 14 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Jaylen Hoard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Payton II * 34 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 30 3-10 0-3 4-5 7 1 1 0 10 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 26 1-5 0-2 1-4 2 3 1 3 3 - -
Johnathan Williams * 16 4-6 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 0 8 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Ish Smith 33 6-14 2-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 16 - -
Jordan McRae 33 12-26 4-10 7-9 5 4 0 1 35 - -
Garrison Mathews 24 6-9 5-7 1-1 2 1 0 0 18 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 4 - -
Admiral Schofield 12 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Isaac Bonga 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter