Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +20 (105-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 20 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 28 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 25 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 22 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter