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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (109-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 38 7-17 3-9 0-0 7 5 1 1 17 - -
Trae Young * 36 9-23 5-14 5-6 5 10 0 0 28 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 5-8 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Cam Reddish * 24 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 2 5 - -
John Collins * 22 6-9 2-3 2-2 8 1 1 0 16 - -
Allen Crabbe 24 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Alex Len 22 2-7 0-2 1-2 8 2 1 2 5 - -
Jabari Parker 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 13 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Brandon Goodwin 12 3-6 1-2 1-1 4 3 2 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 8-18 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 18 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 2-16 0-2 9-10 9 3 0 0 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 8-13 1-2 7-10 10 2 2 0 24 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 5-12 2-5 3-4 6 9 3 2 15 - -
Daniel Theis * 24 7-12 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 2 14 - -
Enes Kanter 23 6-11 0-1 2-3 11 1 0 2 14 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Grant Williams 16 2-4 1-3 0-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Tremont Waters 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter