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2020-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: LA Clippers +14 (126-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svi Mykhailiuk * 28 4-11 2-7 4-6 2 2 0 0 14 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 27 4-11 0-4 2-3 11 0 1 0 10 - -
Andre Drummond * 26 3-10 0-2 4-6 12 0 3 1 10 - -
Tony Snell * 24 6-10 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Tim Frazier * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Bruce Brown 30 6-12 0-2 3-3 2 6 1 0 15 - -
Derrick Rose 26 5-15 0-2 4-4 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Christian Wood 24 4-7 1-3 5-6 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Langston Galloway 21 4-10 1-6 2-3 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Thon Maker 14 4-7 1-3 1-4 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Louis King 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Shamet * 28 3-8 2-7 0-0 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Maurice Harkless * 25 6-7 0-0 0-2 9 2 1 2 12 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 24 8-16 1-3 1-1 6 5 2 1 18 - -
Ivica Zubac * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 4 8 - -
Paul George * 15 5-10 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Lou Williams 30 7-16 3-6 5-5 5 5 1 0 22 - -
Montrezl Harrell 27 9-17 0-1 5-9 4 0 0 3 23 - -
JaMychal Green 25 4-6 2-3 2-2 11 3 0 0 12 - -
Jerome Robinson 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Rodney McGruder 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnathan Motley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter