Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 30 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 21 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 22 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter