Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 32 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 13-25 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 29 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 21 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter