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2020-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (99-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glenn Robinson III * 31 7-14 1-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Damion Lee * 27 4-11 0-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 22 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 - -
Marquese Chriss * 22 3-6 0-0 0-2 7 5 0 1 6 - -
Alec Burks * 22 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Ky Bowman 27 2-9 0-2 0-0 2 2 4 0 4 - -
Eric Paschall 26 6-14 0-3 1-2 7 0 0 0 13 - -
Jacob Evans 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Omari Spellman 21 3-4 1-2 3-3 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Alen Smailagic 15 1-4 0-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 7 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shabazz Napier * 33 7-9 2-4 4-6 3 7 2 1 20 - -
Jarrett Culver * 32 4-14 1-8 1-2 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Kelan Martin * 29 4-12 1-5 3-3 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Robert Covington * 29 8-15 4-11 0-0 10 2 2 2 20 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 27 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 6 - -
Josh Okogie 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 1 7 - -
Naz Reid 20 5-11 3-6 0-3 6 1 0 1 13 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 20 3-9 1-2 2-3 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 - -
Jaylen Nowell 5 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Bell 5 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter