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2020-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ—
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 41 3-8 3-7 7-7 2 11 1 0 16 - -
Terry Rozier * 38 11-22 6-12 2-3 6 3 1 0 30 - -
P.J. Washington * 35 6-14 1-3 1-2 6 5 0 0 14 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Miles Bridges * 22 2-10 0-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Dwayne Bacon 28 5-9 2-3 3-4 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Cody Zeller 19 3-4 0-1 5-6 7 2 0 0 11 - -
Malik Monk 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Marvin Williams 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 6 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 36 8-17 4-7 1-2 1 2 1 0 21 - -
Darius Garland * 34 5-12 3-9 1-2 5 8 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Love * 31 6-13 2-8 4-4 8 4 0 1 18 - -
Tristan Thompson * 30 2-7 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman * 26 7-8 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 17 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 24 4-8 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
John Henson 14 5-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Dante Exum 12 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 - -

* = starter