Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 11-23 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 19 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 15 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 8-12 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 38 | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Danny Green * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 27 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter