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2020-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks +24 (117-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 35 5-20 1-8 0-0 10 8 1 0 11 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 33 6-13 0-0 5-7 12 0 2 3 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 32 6-16 3-7 2-4 4 4 0 0 17 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 31 11-17 3-5 1-2 7 0 0 0 26 - -
Kent Bazemore * 29 4-11 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Anfernee Simons 25 1-8 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 3 - -
Anthony Tolliver 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Brown 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 33 7-19 2-7 2-3 7 3 0 0 18 - -
Julius Randle * 29 8-15 3-6 3-4 13 3 1 1 22 - -
Elfrid Payton * 25 2-9 0-3 0-2 4 8 0 2 4 - -
RJ Barrett * 24 3-12 1-4 0-1 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson 27 11-11 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 22 - -
Frank Ntilikina 23 3-5 1-3 2-2 3 10 1 2 9 - -
Bobby Portis 20 6-11 3-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 5 - -
Reggie Bullock 15 4-9 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Damyean Dotson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter