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2020-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% -
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -21 (101-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 37 7-16 2-6 2-3 4 0 2 1 18 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 8-20 3-6 1-2 12 2 1 0 20 - -
Markelle Fultz * 22 6-12 1-3 3-4 4 8 2 0 16 - -
Wes Iwundu * 22 4-7 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 10 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
D.J. Augustin 31 7-15 2-6 9-10 3 9 2 0 25 - -
Khem Birch 26 3-3 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 1 7 - -
Terrence Ross 24 6-10 3-6 0-0 0 0 1 1 15 - -
Mo Bamba 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Amile Jefferson 13 0-1 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 1 2 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -
Josh Magette 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 30 8-20 2-8 9-10 4 5 0 0 27 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 19 3-10 1-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 9 - -
Johnathan Williams * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 - -
Gary Payton II * 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Jordan McRae 31 4-12 2-6 5-6 7 1 1 0 15 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 28 5-12 1-2 3-4 7 1 1 0 14 - -
Ish Smith 28 4-10 1-4 1-2 5 3 1 0 10 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 23 2-8 0-1 0-0 10 3 0 0 4 - -
Garrison Mathews 17 2-4 1-3 5-5 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Isaac Bonga 12 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Robinson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter