Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 12-29 | 3-16 | 8-12 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 26 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 31 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter