Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson III * | 39 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 38 | 9-20 | 4-5 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 32 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Derrick White | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter