Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +26 (130-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 10 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 33 | 10-17 | 6-9 | 9-13 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 17 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter