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2020-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.0% 89.0% -
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 34 5-11 2-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 12 - -
Tristan Thompson * 31 5-6 0-0 4-5 11 0 0 0 14 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 8-15 1-4 5-5 1 1 1 0 22 - -
Kevin Love * 30 4-11 1-7 1-1 11 2 0 2 10 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 5-12 4-8 0-0 4 4 0 1 14 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 28 6-17 1-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 13 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 4 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Dante Exum 14 1-4 0-2 3-5 1 1 0 0 5 - -
John Henson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 - -
Ante Zizic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 35 7-16 4-12 6-6 1 8 0 1 24 - -
Serge Ibaka * 33 8-11 2-3 2-2 10 2 1 1 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 29 4-14 3-8 1-2 4 7 0 4 12 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 27 5-9 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Patrick McCaw * 22 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 4 1 0 6 - -
OG Anunoby 30 5-8 2-3 0-0 7 4 1 0 12 - -
Terence Davis 24 7-12 4-7 1-2 4 1 0 0 19 - -
Chris Boucher 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -
Stanley Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Shamorie Ponds 1 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Malcolm Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter