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2019-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -
Points Off/Def 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -21 (102-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 31 9-19 1-5 6-7 6 4 1 1 25 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 27 8-14 1-3 6-6 10 6 0 0 23 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 5-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 2 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 25 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 16 5-8 1-2 4-5 3 3 4 0 15 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 3-4 2-2 0-0 9 2 0 2 8 - -
Kyle Korver 21 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
George Hill 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Robin Lopez 20 5-8 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 4 11 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 19 5-8 1-3 3-4 11 2 0 0 14 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
D.J. Wilson 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 32 7-23 4-9 1-1 4 5 0 0 19 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 28 5-9 0-2 0-0 11 1 1 1 10 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 6-12 5-9 1-2 6 0 1 0 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 7 0 0 10 - -
Kris Dunn * 19 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Coby White 33 7-18 3-6 1-2 4 1 4 0 18 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 17 4-7 0-0 0-1 4 2 2 1 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Shaquille Harrison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Adam Mokoka 2 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter