Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +18 (123-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 15-19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 30 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 22 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 28 | 10-11 | 2-3 | 3-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 22 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Johnathan Williams * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 14 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 34 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 30 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 29 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 12-13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Anzejs Pasecniks | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter