Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (108-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Powell * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 23 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 25 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter