Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (120-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 35 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 32 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter