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2019-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Hartenstein * 34 9-11 0-0 1-2 9 4 0 2 19 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 4-7 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 32 10-18 2-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 22 - -
Austin Rivers * 29 2-7 1-4 4-6 3 5 2 0 9 - -
Eric Gordon * 22 6-12 4-7 4-8 1 3 1 0 20 - -
Chris Clemons 33 6-15 4-11 0-0 2 9 1 0 16 - -
Ben McLemore 30 3-7 2-6 4-4 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Gary Clark 24 2-4 2-4 0-0 8 2 0 1 6 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 40 10-20 7-12 0-0 10 10 2 0 27 - -
Brandon Ingram * 36 10-17 2-4 5-5 6 4 2 1 27 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 10-18 4-9 1-2 2 5 0 2 25 - -
Derrick Favors * 34 6-9 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 0 12 - -
JJ Redick * 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Josh Hart 25 0-8 0-7 0-2 4 4 2 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 25 10-20 5-9 0-1 3 5 1 0 25 - -
Kenrich Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Jahlil Okafor 5 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 1-1 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter