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2019-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 ✓ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (117-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 37 3-8 0-1 3-3 2 8 1 0 9 - -
Devonte' Graham * 34 5-18 3-12 3-3 4 10 2 0 16 - -
P.J. Washington * 28 5-9 4-6 2-5 4 1 0 1 16 - -
Miles Bridges * 26 4-10 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 20 3-5 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 2 10 - -
Malik Monk 25 8-18 1-4 1-2 5 0 1 1 18 - -
Marvin Williams 23 2-5 1-3 1-2 4 0 2 0 6 - -
Cody Zeller 19 5-8 0-1 4-5 3 1 1 0 14 - -
Cody Martin 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Dwayne Bacon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 2 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 2-8 0-1 2-2 3 7 0 0 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 6-12 2-5 0-0 12 0 0 2 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 23 8-13 2-5 2-2 0 2 0 0 20 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 7-8 0-0 2-2 9 5 0 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 3-10 0-3 0-0 9 2 1 0 6 - -
Grayson Allen 25 4-11 3-9 4-4 5 2 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 7-13 1-3 3-3 5 3 1 3 18 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Solomon Hill 21 2-5 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 6 2 0 6 - -
Bruno Caboclo 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter