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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 61.1% 38.9% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (97-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 12-21 3-5 5-6 7 2 3 0 32 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 35 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Chris Paul * 33 9-18 3-6 4-4 11 8 0 0 25 - -
Darius Bazley * 29 4-7 4-7 0-0 5 0 0 2 12 - -
Steven Adams * 28 2-7 0-0 5-6 6 0 2 1 9 - -
Abdel Nader 21 1-4 0-3 2-3 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel 19 5-5 0-0 3-3 4 1 3 3 13 - -
Luguentz Dort 16 1-6 0-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Deonte Burton 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Hervey 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 38 6-13 2-6 6-6 3 5 1 1 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 7-18 4-8 2-2 3 8 0 1 20 - -
Patrick McCaw * 36 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 13 - -
Serge Ibaka * 33 5-11 2-4 0-0 14 2 1 0 12 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 3-12 0-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Terence Davis 26 4-8 3-6 0-0 6 3 2 0 11 - -
Chris Boucher 19 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Oshae Brissett 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter