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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -1.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (120-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 7-15 1-4 6-8 7 16 2 1 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 7-16 1-4 5-6 9 5 2 0 20 - -
Danny Green * 19 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Avery Bradley * 17 4-9 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
JaVale McGee * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 32 4-7 3-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma 29 9-17 3-9 3-3 4 1 0 0 24 - -
Alex Caruso 19 3-6 1-1 2-3 3 3 2 0 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 6-8 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Dwight Howard 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 4 11 - -
Jared Dudley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 7-17 4-13 13-14 2 9 1 1 31 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 8-16 2-8 0-0 2 4 0 0 18 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 33 5-14 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 33 7-11 0-0 5-7 16 0 0 4 19 - -
Skal Labissiere * 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 27 3-8 2-4 1-1 4 1 1 2 9 - -
Anfernee Simons 27 6-13 1-1 1-1 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Anthony Tolliver 17 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Nassir Little 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter