Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -20 (121-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 30 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 10-10 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 26 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 22 | 9-13 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 25 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Lee * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 13-21 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter