Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +27 (136-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 28 | 3-16 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 27 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Louis King | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 29 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 29 | 9-19 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter