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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (111-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 31 7-16 5-10 2-2 8 4 3 2 21 - -
Evan Fournier * 31 8-16 4-7 3-3 2 2 1 0 23 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 29 8-13 1-3 2-2 9 2 7 1 19 - -
Markelle Fultz * 29 1-10 0-1 2-2 3 6 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Gordon * 21 2-9 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 2 5 - -
D.J. Augustin 28 4-7 2-3 2-2 1 4 2 0 12 - -
Terrence Ross 27 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Wes Iwundu 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 16 0-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Josh Magette 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Amile Jefferson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 33 7-17 1-5 6-6 5 7 2 0 21 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 5-16 0-6 0-0 3 1 3 3 10 - -
Ersan Ilyasova * 26 6-10 5-6 0-0 14 5 0 1 17 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 3-5 1-3 0-0 9 5 0 0 7 - -
Wesley Matthews * 20 2-3 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Robin Lopez 23 7-8 1-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 1-5 0-3 1-2 9 5 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Korver 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
George Hill 20 7-11 3-6 0-1 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Sterling Brown 7 2-5 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -
D.J. Wilson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter