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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 35 2-9 0-0 8-10 15 3 0 1 12 - -
Collin Sexton * 34 5-17 0-1 8-11 7 1 1 0 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 30 4-7 1-3 0-0 9 0 1 1 9 - -
Darius Garland * 28 8-11 2-4 0-1 2 3 2 0 18 - -
Cedi Osman * 26 2-7 1-4 2-4 7 1 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 29 3-10 0-3 4-6 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Dante Exum 16 3-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 8 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 12 2-5 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 6 - -
John Henson 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 9 2 1 2 4 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 35 5-13 3-9 1-2 7 3 4 1 14 - -
Treveon Graham * 24 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 23 2-8 0-5 1-1 7 2 4 1 5 - -
Jarrett Culver * 23 3-7 1-2 0-2 3 0 2 3 7 - -
Shabazz Napier * 22 3-17 1-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Kelan Martin 29 6-15 3-7 2-2 6 0 1 0 17 - -
Jeff Teague 26 7-14 0-2 4-5 0 4 1 0 18 - -
Noah Vonleh 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 3 2 1 8 - -
Josh Okogie 19 0-7 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 2 1 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 10 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter