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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (33.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +35 (116-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 32 14-26 2-6 4-4 8 2 1 3 34 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 2-9 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 2-12 0-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Cam Reddish * 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 6 2 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando * 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Allen Crabbe 23 2-8 1-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 22 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 5 - -
Alex Len 20 4-4 2-2 0-3 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Vince Carter 12 0-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Damian Jones 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Evan Turner 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Dunn * 30 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 - -
Zach LaVine * 29 7-15 3-7 2-2 7 4 2 0 19 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 29 5-8 1-2 0-1 8 6 3 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 4-8 2-3 3-4 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 21 8-14 4-9 5-6 4 1 0 0 25 - -
Coby White 25 8-11 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 18 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 3-7 1-2 3-4 6 1 2 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 6 - -
Denzel Valentine 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Shaquille Harrison 5 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 1 2 - -
Adam Mokoka 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter