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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 11-21 2-6 6-7 16 6 1 0 30 - -
RJ Barrett * 31 5-13 3-5 1-1 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Elfrid Payton * 30 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 8 0 1 4 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 23 2-9 2-5 4-4 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Taj Gibson * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 4 - -
Damyean Dotson 26 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 20 8-12 1-2 0-1 3 0 1 0 17 - -
Kevin Knox II 19 1-4 1-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Ntilikina 17 1-2 1-2 5-5 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Mitchell Robinson 12 4-5 0-0 1-4 9 0 1 2 9 - -
Allonzo Trier 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 37 4-18 0-5 1-1 8 3 3 0 9 - -
Gary Payton II * 30 6-9 2-4 1-2 6 2 6 0 15 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 29 5-21 2-5 8-8 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 28 4-9 0-1 1-3 10 0 1 2 9 - -
Johnathan Williams * 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jordan McRae 29 7-16 4-5 2-3 5 2 1 0 20 - -
Ish Smith 21 4-12 2-4 3-4 3 2 1 1 13 - -
Isaac Bonga 20 2-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 19 1-4 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Garrison Mathews 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter