Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (117-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons * | 43 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 36 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 20 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 41 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 18 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 37 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 35 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter