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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% - ✓
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 ✓ (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - ✗
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +22 (120-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Holiday * 33 7-14 4-6 7-7 2 2 1 0 25 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 5-10 1-3 4-5 16 4 1 0 15 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 6-12 0-2 8-8 3 1 1 0 20 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 27 2-12 0-4 3-3 6 2 1 1 7 - -
Myles Turner * 22 3-9 0-4 3-4 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Justin Holiday 27 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 4 - -
Doug McDermott 20 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Alize Johnson 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
TJ Leaf 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 7-16 2-6 8-8 5 7 2 0 24 - -
Lonzo Ball * 30 4-11 4-8 1-2 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 28 9-16 2-5 0-0 3 7 2 1 20 - -
Derrick Favors * 26 4-9 0-0 2-4 16 2 1 0 10 - -
JJ Redick * 25 5-12 3-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Josh Hart 26 4-8 2-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 - -
E'Twaun Moore 19 4-10 3-6 0-0 4 0 2 0 11 - -
Kenrich Williams 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Nicolo Melli 3 1-4 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter