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2019-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -16 (97-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick McCaw * 42 8-12 2-4 0-0 7 8 1 1 18 - -
Kyle Lowry * 38 10-17 5-10 5-6 4 7 2 0 30 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 5-19 4-9 4-5 3 5 5 1 18 - -
Serge Ibaka * 29 9-14 1-3 1-4 10 0 0 0 20 - -
OG Anunoby * 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Terence Davis 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 7 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Stanley Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 38 11-23 3-11 5-6 2 2 2 0 30 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 5-12 1-2 6-8 5 1 3 0 17 - -
Gordon Hayward * 35 3-13 1-7 6-6 6 3 1 2 13 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 3-7 0-2 6-8 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Daniel Theis * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 4 - -
Marcus Smart 23 2-9 1-5 2-4 3 2 3 0 7 - -
Enes Kanter 17 5-5 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Brad Wanamaker 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Grant Williams 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 - -
Romeo Langford 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter